優質葡萄酒在動盪中保持穩定,表現優於股票

人們已把Covid-19造成的金融動盪與2008-2009年的全球金融危機相提並論。然而,在之前的危機中,雖然葡萄酒價格下跌,但行業業務如常,活動日程和分銷渠道均未受干擾。相比之下, 在過去一個月,如Prowien和Vinitaly等主要酒展均先後取消;快將舉行的UGC波爾多最新2019年份品嚐會最後也於上周宣布取消。

優質葡萄酒在動盪中保持穩定,表現優於股票

人們已把Covid-19造成的金融動盪與2008-2009年的全球金融危機相提並論。然而,在之前的危機中,雖然葡萄酒價格下跌,但行業業務如常,活動日程和分銷渠道均未受干擾。相比之下, 在過去一個月,如Prowien和Vinitaly等主要酒展均先後取消;快將舉行的UGC波爾多最新2019年份品嚐會最後也於上周宣布取消。

由此可見,這次造成的價格波動可能將比2008年時更戲劇化;當時Liv-ex 100在兩個月內下跌22%。然而,目前為止,相比股票、貨幣和商品市場所出現的巨大波動,葡萄酒市場卻一直相對穩定。

不論短期和長期(5年),行業基準的Liv-ex 100指數和最廣泛市場指標的Liv-ex 1000指數的表現均優於全球股票(和石油!)。在過去五年,Liv-ex 1000指數已上升了40%,而FTSE100指數卻下跌了5%。

在前景不明的情況下,投資者往往會轉向安全資產;波動較小的優質葡萄酒可為他們帶來了穩定的回報。在動盪時期,這種穩定是否會越顯價值

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